TOMG508

This paper applies forecasting methods within the specific domain of tourism, and therefore considers issues specific to tourism such as the nature of available data and the role of exogenous shocks like September 11 2001 and SARS. Techniques studied include time series, regression analysis and a consideration of emergent techniques such as artificial neural network analyses. There is an emphasis on the important of forecasting of NTOs, RTOs and varying tourism stakeholders including those considering capital investments, issues pertaining to environmental sustainability and special interest groups, including Maori.